The inevitable 2019/20 Premier League champions Liverpool need one more win to secure their first ever PL title but they could also claim the title should Man City drop any points and tonight City are away at Chelsea.
Funnily enough if City were to win today, they’re hosting Liverpool on July 2nd in a game where Liverpool could lift the trophy at the Etihad, the game itself would be a real spectacle for any football fan.
Today’s hosts Chelsea have only had the one game since the resumption of football, a 2-1 away win at Aston Villa where two goals in quick succession finished a comeback after being comfortably on top. The Blues home form has not been the force it once was, they’ve lost 33% of their home league games this year and won 46% of them. In comparison, over the past 3 PL seasons Chelsea have lost 12% of their home fixtures, it’s a pretty worrying drop but the league position of 4th doesn’t share the same worry. In the 30 league fixtures this season Chelsea have also only managed to keep 6 clean sheets which again is a fair bit lower than previous seasons.
Man City have looked electric in their 2 games back with a convincing 3-0 win against Arsenal, followed by a 5-0 demolition job over Burnley. Sergio Aguero suffered what looks to be a season ending knee injury that he’s had surgery for in Barcelona this week and will be a real loss for the remainder of the season but will allow the role to be filled by Gabriel Jesus on a regular basis. City have been as threatening as ever offensively this season but the slips have been defensively, they’ve scored an average of 2.33 goals a game away from home in PL matches and seen a total of 3.6 in total if you include the conceded goals too.
Man City haven’t drawn away from home in their last 14 competitive away games either, and in recent domestic meetings between today’s sides there hasn’t been a draw since January of 2015 where both meetings that season were draws. The last Premier League meeting at Stamford Bridge was a 2-0 win for Chelsea where Kante scored and similarly, the Frenchman scored in the recent 2-1 away loss in November at the Etihad.
City’s challenge for the title will more than likely be a pipedream but they’ll look to finish the season strongly and carry the momentum into their 20/21 challenge. It is likely that they’ll have too much for a young Chelsea side, even without Aguero.
The bookmakers have priced Man City to win at around 3/4 which could even be considered generous if you look at the way they disposed of their previous opposition.
Man City to win is generally available at 3/4
N’Golo Kante to score anytime is generally available at 10/1 – considering his form against City this could be a fairly sized price single.
If you were to double the selections together it’s 33/1.
samyets 