3rd faces 5th in an enticing looking fixture in which Monchengladbach host Leverkusen at Borussia Park in a battle for a top four spot, both teams are comfortably clear of 6th place Wolfsburg and a win either way this afternoon will be a big 3 points.
The reverse fixture in November finished 2-1 in favour of the away side Monchengladbach and all the goals were scored in the first half which is not uncommon for Leverkusen. In their 26 league games this season there’s been 45 goals scored in their first halves, which is an average of 1.73 a game and the highest in the Bundesliga- it’s also 56% of the goals they’ve seen in the league this season. Monchengladbach have had 2 or more goals scored in 84% of their overall matches this season too with Leverkusen having 88% of their games with 2 or more.
Bayer Leverkusen were very impressive in brushing aside a struggling Bremen side in their comeback game on Monday where they walked away 4-1 victors, Kai Havertz also got on the scoresheet twice in the first half. Leverkusen have been relentless away from home in recent games, in their last 7 games in all competitions they’ve scored a total of 19 goals, an average of 2.71 goals per game. The aforementioned Havertz looks to be coming into a nice run of form too, he’s now scored 8 league goals this season and with the ongoing ankle injury for Kevin Volland, he’s going to be the talisman up top.
Monchengladbach restarted their season with a 3-1 win away in Frankfurt and Alassane Plea scored within the first minute, Ramy Bensebaini also netted from the spot for his fifth goal of the season from defence in only his twelfth appearance and it’s clear to see why he’s keeping the long-serving Oscar Wendt out of the side. Gladbach have scored an average of 2 goals a game in the league this season and 57% of those have come at home but unfortunately, they do concede on a regular basis too. In the 13 home fixtures they have played this season, there’s been 11 occasions where their opponent has scored and they’ve also managed only 5 clean sheets overall, a 19.2%, not quite good enough for a top four side.
It’s a very difficult game to call which way it’s going to go, Monchengladbach’s good home form is really overshadowed by the Leverkusen offensive threat, the away side have also scored 5 goals in 2 of their last 4 games away at Gladbach. The bookies have opened up with the home side as favourites with a slight swing in their favour at around 13/10 (2.30), but the value undoubtedly lies in the away side.
Here’s a little wager including some of the previously mentioned stats that represents some value.
samyets 